BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//GRIPE - ECPv6.15.20//NONSGML v1.0//EN
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
METHOD:PUBLISH
X-ORIGINAL-URL:https://gripe.polisci.ucla.edu
X-WR-CALDESC:Events for GRIPE
REFRESH-INTERVAL;VALUE=DURATION:PT1H
X-Robots-Tag:noindex
X-PUBLISHED-TTL:PT1H
BEGIN:VTIMEZONE
TZID:America/New_York
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:-0500
TZOFFSETTO:-0400
TZNAME:EDT
DTSTART:20240310T070000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:-0400
TZOFFSETTO:-0500
TZNAME:EST
DTSTART:20241103T060000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:-0500
TZOFFSETTO:-0400
TZNAME:EDT
DTSTART:20250309T070000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:-0400
TZOFFSETTO:-0500
TZNAME:EST
DTSTART:20251102T060000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:-0500
TZOFFSETTO:-0400
TZNAME:EDT
DTSTART:20260308T070000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:-0400
TZOFFSETTO:-0500
TZNAME:EST
DTSTART:20261101T060000
END:STANDARD
END:VTIMEZONE
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20251210T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20251210T130000
DTSTAMP:20260421T033957
CREATED:20250710T221446Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20251204T211551Z
UID:1782-1765368000-1765371600@gripe.polisci.ucla.edu
SUMMARY:Carles Boix (Princeton)\, Valentina Gonzalez-Rostani (USC)\, Erica Owen (Pittsburgh\, presenter)\, "The Political Economy of Automation and Fragmented Production: Evidence from Mexico"
DESCRIPTION:How does automation in the Global North shape politics and violence in the Global South? We develop a political economy theory in which robot adoption in advanced economies reduces demand for export-oriented labor in developing countries\, depressing wages and employment and creating social and political consequences. We test this argument in Mexico\, a close trade partner of the United States. Using commuting-zone data\, we construct exposure measures combining pre-NAFTA export employment with U.S. industry robot growth and initial offshoring intensity\, while accounting for domestic robot adoption and other shocks. To address endogeneity\, we instrument foreign exposure with European robot diffusion. We find that regions more exposed to foreign robots experience higher levels of violent organized crime\, including narcocrime and homicides (but not property crime)\, and stronger support for left-populist candidates. These findings demonstrate how automation shocks ripple through global value chains to reshape society and elections. \nModerator: Stephen Chaudoin \nLink to PDF
URL:https://gripe.polisci.ucla.edu/event/owen-2025-12-10/
CATEGORIES:season13
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20251119T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20251119T130000
DTSTAMP:20260421T033957
CREATED:20250710T221409Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20251112T174901Z
UID:1779-1763553600-1763557200@gripe.polisci.ucla.edu
SUMMARY:Laura Comini (Michigan) and Hao Zhang (NYU)\, How Disasters Drive Action: Subsidiaries\, Supply Chains\, and Climate Lobbying
DESCRIPTION:Tackling climate change generates non-rivalrous and non-excludable benefits\, while the costs of climate action fall on individual firms. This should incentivize firms to free ride on each others’ efforts. Yet\, corporate lobbying on climate issues has increased steadily across sectors. We develop a framework where exposure to climate disasters reduces free-riding by aligning private incentives with collective good. Disasters update firms’ perception of future costs\, risk likelihood\, and discount rates\, motivating present-day action. Ownership and production networks amplify this effect by making costs measurable\, concentrated\, and attributable to a few firms. Supplier substitutability\, however\, limits the diffusion of action. Using a comprehensive dataset linking U.S. firms\, domestic subsidiaries\, and supply chain partners to environmental lobbying\, we find that disasters affecting firms or their subsidiaries increase lobbying\, while disasters impacting suppliers matter only when alternatives are scarce. These results highlight spatial and structural factors shaping climate action in multi-unit\, networked firms. \nModerator: Sarah Bauerle Danzman \nPDF here
URL:https://gripe.polisci.ucla.edu/event/zhang-2025-11-19/
CATEGORIES:season13
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20251008T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20251008T133000
DTSTAMP:20260421T033957
CREATED:20250710T221254Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20250929T164658Z
UID:1776-1759924800-1759930200@gripe.polisci.ucla.edu
SUMMARY:Calvin Thrall (Columbia)\, "Industrial Diversification and the Rise of the Local Chamber"
DESCRIPTION:Abstract: Despite the well-documented nationalization of local politics over the late 20th century\, one type of local organization has flourished: the chamber of commerce. Local chambers\, influential interest groups in which firms operating in a given municipality band together to lobby for improved local business conditions\, are now present in over 6\,700 municipalities across nearly 2\,300 counties. Why has the private sector been so successful at organizing locally\, despite the costs inherent in collective action? I argue that industrial diversification at the local level makes chamber formation more likely; when firms are co-located with complementary industries rather than direct competitors\, lobbying for geographically-specific (“place-based”) benefits offers greater relative gains. I provide evidence in support of this explanation using new data on thousands of local chambers incorporated between 1970 and 2018\, an identification strategy based on a novel Bartik-style shift-share instrument\, and member-level data for twenty individual chambers. The results demonstrate how broader patterns of structural economic change have affected interest representation at the local level. \nModerator: Gabi Spilker \nPaper PDF
URL:https://gripe.polisci.ucla.edu/event/thrall-2025-10-08/
CATEGORIES:season13
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20250917T123000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20250917T133000
DTSTAMP:20260421T033957
CREATED:20250710T221639Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20250909T200405Z
UID:1789-1758112200-1758115800@gripe.polisci.ucla.edu
SUMMARY:Chris Johns (Georgetown) and Dennis Quinn (Georgetown)\, "Emerging Market Bonds Spreads and the Impact of Trump 2 April 2025 Tariffs: Liberation Day?"
DESCRIPTION:We employ difference-in-differences (DiD) event studies to assess the impact of Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcement on sovereign bond spreads and yields in emerging markets (EMs). We consider a largely unexplored question: how do trade policy shocks affect the cost of EM sovereign borrowing? Using daily data surrounding the tariff announcement\, we find that countries with high exposure to U.S. trade paradoxically experienced smaller increases in spreads\, while those with low economic complexity and high political and economic risk faced substantially higher financing costs. These findings underscore the importance of country-specific risk factors in shaping financial responses to tariff shocks. JEL Codes: F13\, F34\, F65\, G15 \nModerator: Cameron Ballard-Rosa \nNo paper PDF
URL:https://gripe.polisci.ucla.edu/event/quinn-2025-09-17/
CATEGORIES:season13
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR