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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20231206T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20231206T133000
DTSTAMP:20260421T034002
CREATED:20230906T184114Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20231201T223956Z
UID:1421-1701864000-1701869400@gripe.polisci.ucla.edu
SUMMARY:Allison Carnegie (Columbia\, presenter) and Ricky Clark (Cornell)\, "Perils of Populism: How Populists Warp Global Governance"
DESCRIPTION:Link to PDF \nNote: The PDF contains two chapters: the introduction and one empirical chapter from the book. \nModerator: Stephen Chaudoin
URL:https://gripe.polisci.ucla.edu/event/carnegie-2023-12-06/
CATEGORIES:season9
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20231115T093000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20231115T110000
DTSTAMP:20260421T034002
CREATED:20230906T183755Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20231107T223310Z
UID:1417-1700040600-1700046000@gripe.polisci.ucla.edu
SUMMARY:Chloe Ahn (UPenn) and Nina Obermeier (King’s College London\, presenter)\, "Cryptocurrency and the State: Evidence from South Korea"
DESCRIPTION:Abstract: National currencies regulated by state monetary authorities have long been associated with nation-state building and the expansion of state control. The rise of cryptocurrencies—that is\, digital currencies outside of state control—has the potential to challenge the dominance of the state in this area and to disrupt state-society relations traditionally mediated through state-issued currencies. However\, as recent crises and scandals involving cryptocurrencies demonstrate\, cryptocurrencies may—in the absence of regulation—be perceived as too volatile and unsafe to act as a true alternative to state-regulated currencies or to investments that offer some level of government protection. In fact\, the failure of cryptocurrencies to provide a safe alternative financial system may lead people to appreciate the role of government in regulating markets more. We test these expectations in the case of South Korea\, using a number of different approaches. First\, a quantitative content analysis of recent South Korean news media shows that despite public attention to the possibility of “striking it rich” through cryptocurrency investment\, public discourse on cryptocurrency has recently become dominated by discussion of the weaknesses of non-state-regulated currencies\, particularly after a series of scandals. Second\, a nationally representative survey experiment reveals that exposing South Koreans to information about the volatility of cryptocurrencies increases their trust in government\, as hypothesized. At the same time\, exposure to positive information about cryptocurrencies does not undermine trust in government or support for government regulation. These results point to limitations to the potential of unregulated cryptocurrencies to offer an alternative to state-issued currencies or government-regulated investment vehicles. \nModerator: Federica Genovese \nLink to PDF
URL:https://gripe.polisci.ucla.edu/event/obermeier-2023-11-15/
CATEGORIES:season9
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20231011T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20231011T133000
DTSTAMP:20260421T034002
CREATED:20230906T183546Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20231004T181152Z
UID:1414-1697025600-1697031000@gripe.polisci.ucla.edu
SUMMARY:Bobby Gulotty (Chicago\, presenter) and Anton Strezhnev (Chicago)\, "The Political Benefits of the Monoculture: Estimating Political Manipulation in the Market Facilitation Program"
DESCRIPTION:Abstract: Many redistributive programs use estimates of need to determine access. These esti- mates\, in turn\, depend on a formulaic combination of objective measures and subjective evaluations. Such formulas do not eliminate political influence\, but instead force politicians to use industrial policy to target individuals by way of their positions as economic producers or consumers\, rather than by their membership in a relevant political community. In the politics of farm subsidies\, the government may lack the data or expertise to render political communities sufficiently legible to target via product-specific transfer schemes. We use these constraints to examine the impact of the US Department of Agriculture’s Market Facilitation Program (MFP) which provided over $16 billion in direct payments\, surplus purchasing\, and other forms of support to US agricultural producers from 2018 to 2020. According to official statements\, these funds were allocated in response to “objective” econometric estimates of the damage caused by the US-China trade war. We use county and crop-level administrative data to reconstruct the formula used to significantly expand payments in 2019 and show how the determination of damages for particular crops propagated via the formula into county-specific compensation rates based on these counties’ prior planting decisions. We find that counties receiving higher levels of formula-induced compensation\, on average\, have higher Republican Party presidential vote shares in the 2020 presidential election. Instrumenting for actual MFP disbursements in 2019-2020 using the reconstructed formula\, we find that each additional $10 million in MFP payments to a county increased that county’s 2020 Trump vote share by about 0.6 percentage points on average. \nLink to PDF \nModerator: Iain Osgood
URL:https://gripe.polisci.ucla.edu/event/gulotty-2023-10-11/
CATEGORIES:season9
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20230920T093000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20230920T110000
DTSTAMP:20260421T034002
CREATED:20230906T182913Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20230917T213625Z
UID:1408-1695202200-1695207600@gripe.polisci.ucla.edu
SUMMARY:Haillie Lee (Seoul National University) and Erik Voeten (Georgetown\, presenter)\, "Transboundary Air Pollution and Hazy Accountability: Evidence from South Korea and China"
DESCRIPTION:Abstract: Environmental problems often originate at least partially in other jurisdictions. We argue that trans- boundary pollution can increase public hostility towards the polluting country and break accountability links in the country that receives some of its pollution from abroad. We examine this argument in the context of trans-boundary air pollution in South Korea. South Korea’s air pollution is the worst in the OECD and it partially originates in China. We combine daily air quality measurements with Gallup World Poll surveys from 2015-2022 to show that on days with bad air quality\, Koreans become significantly less satisfied with China’s leadership but not with the Korean government\, including the government’s efforts to preserve the environment. We also use air quality as an instrument for subjective satisfaction with air quality and find that subjective beliefs about air quality have a strong negative causal effect on satisfaction with China’s leadership but have no significant effect on satisfaction with the Korean government. This evidence suggests that air pollution partially causes negative Korean views to- wards China and that cross-border deflection of responsibility may relief pressure from the South Korean government to adopt stronger environmental measures. Moreover\, we find that the effect runs through reduced confidence in the local economy rather than the effects of pollution on perceived life satisfaction or health. \nLink to PDF \nModerator: Stephen Chaudoin
URL:https://gripe.polisci.ucla.edu/event/voeten-2023-09-20/
CATEGORIES:season9
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