Julian Michel (UCLA), Michael K. Miller (GWU), Margaret E. Peters (UCLA), “Get Out: How Autocratic Regimes Select Who Emigrates”

Abstract: Most autocracies restrict emigration, yet still allow some citizens to voluntarily exit. How do these regimes decide who can leave? We argue that many autocracies strategically target anti-regime actors for emigration, thereby crafting a more loyal population without the drawbacks of persistent cooptation or repression. However, this generates problematic incentives for citizens to join […]

David Gill (Nottingham), “The Default Taboo: Repayment Norms during the Great Depression”

Abstract: France and Britain were responsible for the two largest sovereign defaults in modern history when they unilaterally suspended war debt repayments to the United States during the Great Depression. Despite facing similar economic challenges, Paris defaulted in 1932 whereas London continued payment until 1934. Conventional explanations for why states default or repay their debts— […]

Simone Cremaschi (Bocconi), Paula Rettl (Bocconi), Marco Cappelluti (UCL), and Catherine E. De Vries (Bocconi, presenter), “Geographies of Discontent: How Public Service Deprivation Increased Far-Right Support in Italy”

Abstract: Electoral support for far-right parties is often linked to specific geographies of discontent. We argue that public service deprivation, defined as reduced access to public services at the local level, helps explain these patterns in far-right support. Public service deprivation increases the appeal of far-right parties by making people more worried about immigration and […]

Chase Foster (Technische Universität München) and Jeffry Frieden (Harvard), “Compensation, Austerity, and Populism: Social Spending and Voting in 17 Western European Countries”

Abstract: There has been a dramatic rise in voting for populist parties in Europe over the past twenty years. There are clear material and non-material sources of this backlash against political and economic integration, which is part of the broader global trend. We assess the role of government social policy in dampening or provoking populist […]